La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 21:00
18.0112.0%
X4.9019.6%
21.4068.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Granada
WLWDLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Real Madrid
WDDWWWDWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
3.40
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Granada attack
1.20goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.60Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.80goals per matchGranada conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.40
9.60
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.40
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
29.00
Match total
25.30
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.10
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%11.6%-0.3 pp
Draw19.6%20.9%+1.4 pp
Away68.5%67.4%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS55.8%
Historical average
0.88–2.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.3%
0-111.6%
0-29.3%
0-49.3%
2-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.05–6.53
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals61.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away76.9%