La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 18:00
13.8624.8%
X3.5526.9%
21.9848.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
LLDLLWDLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Villarreal
LWDDDLWWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.00
8.40
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.00goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.00
8.40
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
27.40
Match total
23.60

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.60
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%29.5%+4.7 pp
Draw26.9%25.0%-1.9 pp
Away48.3%45.5%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.171.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.7%
1-29.8%
1-18.9%
0-08.9%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.31
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.3%11.8%–40.9% CI
Draw FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI
Away FT30.0%16.7%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.7%
Away50.0%