La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 21:00
11.6159.5%
X3.9024.6%
26.0115.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWDLDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sociedad
LWLDWDLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
3.50
10.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.50
10.10
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
24.50
Match total
30.40

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.80
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.5%44.9%-14.6 pp
Draw24.6%34.7%+10.1 pp
Away15.9%20.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

1.571.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
2-112.2%
1-010.2%
2-210.2%
3-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.393.84
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away56.3%