La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 18:00
11.4665.3%
X4.6320.6%
26.7814.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
WWWWLWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Valencia
LWLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.60goals per matchValencia conceded1.90Matchup
Valencia attack
0.80goals per matchSevilla conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
8.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.30
Match total
25.70
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%80.3%+15.0 pp
Draw20.6%11.3%-9.3 pp
Away14.1%8.5%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS46.5%
Historical average
2.38–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-119.7%
2-015.5%
1-09.9%
3-18.5%
4-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.31–3.32
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.9%53.5%–87.5% CI
Draw FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
2.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal95.7%
2+ goals69.6%
3+ goals43.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home87.0%
Away39.1%