La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-12 · 18:00
11.4665.3%
X4.6320.6%
26.7814.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WWWWLWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Valencia
LWLDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.60goals per match
Valencia conceded1.90
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
8.30
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.90
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.30
Match total
25.70

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%80.3%+15.0 pp
Draw20.6%11.3%-9.3 pp
Away14.1%8.5%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

2.380.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.7%
2-015.5%
1-09.9%
3-18.5%
4-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.313.32
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.9%53.5%–87.5% CI
Draw FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.7%
2+ goals69.6%
3+ goals43.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.0%
Away39.1%