La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 17:30
11.9948.0%
X3.6426.3%
23.7225.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DWDDLLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Celta
DLLDDLWWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
3.80
8.80
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.50
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.80
8.80
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.80
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
26.00
Match total
29.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.60
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches239
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%46.4%-1.6 pp
Draw26.3%26.8%+0.5 pp
Away25.7%26.8%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.651.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
1-010.5%
2-18.8%
2-27.5%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.72
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=239.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.534.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%24.5%–46.9% CI
Draw FT36.4%25.8%–48.4% CI
Away FT28.8%19.3%–40.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away53.0%