La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 15:15
12.0546.7%
X3.3029.0%
23.9324.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LDDWWWWDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Valladolid
DWDLDDDLDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.50
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.90
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.80goals per match
Valencia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
9.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.30
Match total
27.70

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.90
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%45.6%-1.1 pp
Draw29.0%30.0%+1.0 pp
Away24.3%24.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.481.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
2-110.5%
1-010.1%
2-09.7%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.30
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.5%25.7%–46.7% CI
Draw FT43.4%32.9%–54.6% CI
Away FT21.1%13.4%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away42.1%