La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 15:15
11.8152.9%
X3.6925.9%
24.5221.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
DDWWDWWWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWDWDLDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.60
Against
4.10
8.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.60
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.10
8.50
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.10
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.30
Match total
27.30

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.30
On target
4.50
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%58.9%+6.0 pp
Draw25.9%24.2%-1.7 pp
Away21.2%16.9%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.770.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.3%
1-012.9%
1-111.3%
2-011.3%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.194.23
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%27.0%–54.5% CI
Draw FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI
Away FT17.8%9.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away44.4%