La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 20:00
11.5063.9%
X4.1023.4%
27.5012.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LDDWWWLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Elche
DLLLLLLDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.60
8.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.30
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.70goals per match
Elche conceded2.10
Matchup

Elche attack

0.70goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.60
8.20
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.80
Match total
27.50

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.90
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%76.1%+12.2 pp
Draw23.4%15.2%-8.1 pp
Away12.8%8.7%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.930.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.3%
2-115.2%
1-110.9%
3-110.9%
2-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.633.41
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.541.3%
Over 10.528.3%
Over 11.513.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away20.0%