La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 20:00
17.4012.9%
X5.3717.8%
21.3869.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DLDDWWWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.60
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
3.00
10.10
Total
6.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.80
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.60goals per match
Valencia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.00
10.10
Match total
6.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.80
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
28.20
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
3.70
On target
6.20
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.9%15.8%+2.9 pp
Draw17.8%21.1%+3.2 pp
Away69.3%63.2%-6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.578.9%
Over 3.552.6%
BTTS84.2%

Historical average

1.322.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-215.8%
1-310.5%
1-610.5%
2-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.008.11
Average total11.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.568.4%
Over 10.557.9%
Over 11.547.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away64.3%