La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 17:30
11.8352.2%
X3.4028.1%
24.8419.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
WWLWDLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Cadiz
LLDLLDDLWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.20
Against
5.70
9.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.40goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.80
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.70goals per match
Granada conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.70
9.60
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
30.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
3.20
On target
2.10
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.2%54.9%+2.7 pp
Draw28.1%25.6%-2.5 pp
Away19.7%19.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.480.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.6%
2-113.4%
0-011.0%
2-09.8%
0-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.413.65
Average total9.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.541.5%
Over 10.526.8%
Over 11.518.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%24.7%–56.3% CI
Draw FT42.4%27.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away42.4%