La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 20:00
11.3869.3%
X4.9319.4%
28.4811.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWLWWDWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Osasuna
DDLDLWWDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.70
10.10
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.00
Matchup

Osasuna attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.70
10.10
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
24.20
Match total
25.00

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.3%56.8%-12.6 pp
Draw19.4%32.4%+13.0 pp
Away11.3%10.8%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.700.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.6%
2-216.2%
1-116.2%
2-010.8%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.163.89
Average total11.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.1%
Over 9.564.9%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away41.7%