La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:15
18.7910.9%
X4.5021.3%
21.4167.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DDLLDWWDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWWDWDLDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.00
Against
3.90
7.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Elche conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.90
7.30
Match total
9.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.10
Match total
26.30

Shots

6.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.70
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.9%0.0%-10.9 pp
Draw21.3%20.0%-1.3 pp
Away67.9%80.0%+12.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS30.0%

Historical average

0.301.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-140.0%
1-110.0%
0-210.0%
1-310.0%
1-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.906.60
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away75.0%