La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:15
18.7910.9%
X4.5021.3%
21.4167.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Elche
DDLLDWWDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWWDWDLDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.00
Against
3.90
7.30
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Elche attack
1.20goals per matchAth Madrid conceded1.00Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.50goals per matchElche conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.90
7.30
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.10
Match total
26.30
Shots
6.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.70
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.9%0.0%-10.9 pp
Draw21.3%20.0%-1.3 pp
Away67.9%80.0%+12.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS30.0%
Historical average
0.30–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-140.0%
1-110.0%
0-210.0%
1-310.0%
1-210.0%
Comparable corner averages
2.90–6.60
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home25.0%
Away75.0%