La Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 13:00
12.5138.1%
X3.1130.7%
23.0731.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
DLWLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Alaves
LDLDLLLLDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.40
Against
5.60
7.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

0.70goals per match
Alaves conceded2.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.60goals per match
Eibar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.60
7.70
Match total
8.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.90
Match total
28.60

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.20
On target
1.80
5%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%45.8%+7.7 pp
Draw30.7%26.1%-4.6 pp
Away31.2%28.1%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.281.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
1-114.4%
2-113.7%
0-19.8%
2-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.924.20
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%33.4%–58.4% CI
Draw FT28.1%18.1%–40.8% CI
Away FT26.3%16.6%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away47.4%