La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 20:00
14.3222.1%
X3.3428.5%
21.9349.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WLWLWDDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWWWDWDLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.00
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.80
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.00
9.60
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
25.10
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%12.5%-9.6 pp
Draw28.5%37.5%+9.0 pp
Away49.4%50.0%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

0.751.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.8%
1-118.8%
2-212.5%
0-312.5%
0-112.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.314.56
Average total8.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.512.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away69.6%