La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 17:30
11.4267.2%
X4.7120.3%
27.6512.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
DWWWWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Granada
WLLDLDLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
0.50
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.70goals per match
Granada conceded1.90
Matchup

Granada attack

1.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.10
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.2%80.7%+13.5 pp
Draw20.3%8.8%-11.5 pp
Away12.5%10.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS31.6%

Historical average

2.280.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.3%
1-014.0%
2-114.0%
3-012.3%
4-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.37
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%69.9%–97.2% CI
Draw FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals35.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home95.0%
Away15.0%