La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 15:15
14.6120.7%
X4.3222.1%
21.6757.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DDDWDDLLWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.70
1.30
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
2.80
8.30
Total
7.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.10goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.70
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.80
8.30
Match total
7.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
26.30
Match total
22.60

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.30
On target
6.70
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%24.1%+3.4 pp
Draw22.1%17.2%-4.9 pp
Away57.2%58.6%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS65.5%

Historical average

1.452.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.8%
1-110.3%
2-310.3%
2-110.3%
0-110.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.386.03
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%