La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 17:30
12.1644.2%
X3.2529.4%
23.6226.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LDLDDWWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Alaves
LLDLDLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.60
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.30goals per match
Alaves conceded2.00
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.50goals per match
Valencia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.10
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.60
Match total
28.70

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
3.70
On target
1.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%42.4%-1.9 pp
Draw29.4%32.6%+3.2 pp
Away26.4%25.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.381.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
0-011.1%
2-010.1%
1-010.1%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.44
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.7%25.3%–43.2% CI
Draw FT48.1%38.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT18.3%12.0%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away39.4%