La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 21:00
19.0410.5%
X4.6520.5%
21.3869.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cadiz
LDWDLLLWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Real Madrid
WWDDWWWDWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.20
Against
3.10
9.20
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cadiz attack
1.00goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.60Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.60goals per matchCadiz conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
3.10
9.20
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.40
Match total
25.40
Shots
7.80N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.00
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.5%0.0%-10.5 pp
Draw20.5%27.3%+6.8 pp
Away69.0%72.7%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS45.5%
Historical average
0.64–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.2%
1-218.2%
0-418.2%
0-29.1%
0-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.45–6.18
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.518.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.3%
Away68.8%