La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 20:00
12.8533.5%
X3.0231.6%
22.7434.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DLDDLLDWWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Valladolid
LDDWDLDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
10%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.40
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
7.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
1.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.90
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.60goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
7.80
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.50
Match total
26.60

Shots

6.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
2.50
On target
2.30
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches207
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%39.1%+5.6 pp
Draw31.6%33.3%+1.7 pp
Away34.9%27.5%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.140.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-013.5%
0-012.6%
0-19.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.634.40
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=207.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.6%
Over 9.545.4%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%27.7%–48.5% CI
Draw FT43.8%33.4%–54.7% CI
Away FT18.8%11.7%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away36.3%