La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 20:00
14.3122.2%
X3.5027.3%
21.8950.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alaves
DWLLLWLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Villarreal
WLWDDDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.20
1.40
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.90
0.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.40
Against
3.90
7.70
Total
7.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alaves attack
0.90goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.00Matchup
Villarreal attack
2.20goals per matchAlaves conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.90
7.70
Match total
7.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.60
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.80
Match total
25.00
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.00
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
21%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%30.8%+8.6 pp
Draw27.3%20.0%-7.3 pp
Away50.5%49.2%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS44.6%
Historical average
0.95–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.9%
1-215.4%
1-113.8%
0-29.2%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.95–5.23
Average total9.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.536.9%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away44.4%