La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 20:00
14.3122.2%
X3.5027.3%
21.8950.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DWLLLWLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Villarreal
WLWDDDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.20
1.40
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.90
0.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.40
Against
3.90
7.70
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.20goals per match
Alaves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.90
7.70
Match total
7.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.60
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.80
Match total
25.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.00
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%30.8%+8.6 pp
Draw27.3%20.0%-7.3 pp
Away50.5%49.2%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

0.951.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.9%
1-215.4%
1-113.8%
0-29.2%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.23
Average total9.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.536.9%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away44.4%