La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 18:00
12.4339.3%
X3.1230.6%
23.1730.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Osasuna
LDDWWLLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Valencia
DLWLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.70
Against
4.90
6.80
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
1.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Osasuna attack
0.90goals per matchValencia conceded1.80Matchup
Valencia attack
0.90goals per matchOsasuna conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.90
6.80
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.30
Match total
25.30
Shots
8.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.30
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%37.6%-1.7 pp
Draw30.6%33.3%+2.7 pp
Away30.1%29.0%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.20–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-012.2%
0-011.2%
0-111.2%
2-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–4.55
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.522.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%19.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT42.0%33.5%–51.0% CI
Away FT31.9%24.2%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.9%
Away48.7%