La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 17:30
13.6326.3%
X3.3928.2%
22.1045.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
WLDWDLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Celta
LWDLLDDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.90
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.80
Against
3.90
9.90
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Matchup

Celta attack

1.50goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.80
Corners against
3.90
9.90
Match total
7.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
22.20
Match total
30.00

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
15%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.3%19.0%-7.3 pp
Draw28.2%38.0%+9.8 pp
Away45.5%43.0%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS38.0%

Historical average

0.731.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-021.5%
0-113.9%
1-011.4%
1-111.4%
1-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.84
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.544.3%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%5.0%–28.1% CI
Draw FT59.4%42.3%–74.5% CI
Away FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal46.9%
2+ goals9.4%
3+ goals3.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home18.8%
Away34.4%