La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 15:15
11.4466.3%
X4.2522.5%
28.5111.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WWWWWDLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Eibar
DLDLDLLLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.10
Against
3.50
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.70goals per matchEibar conceded1.40Matchup
Eibar attack
0.70goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.50
9.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
25.20
Match total
21.40
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.3%68.4%+2.1 pp
Draw22.5%21.1%-1.4 pp
Away11.2%10.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.79–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-031.6%
1-115.8%
3-110.5%
4-110.5%
3-05.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–3.89
Average total8.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.4%
Away35.3%