La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 13:00
12.8833.2%
X3.2929.0%
22.5337.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
DDLDDWWWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Sevilla
WWDLWWWLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
3.80
8.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.60goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.00
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.50goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.80
8.30
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.40
Match total
28.00

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.00
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%30.8%-2.3 pp
Draw29.0%25.4%-3.7 pp
Away37.8%43.8%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.071.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.9%
1-110.4%
1-09.0%
2-19.0%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.99
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.3%20.6%–42.2% CI
Draw FT34.8%24.5%–46.9% CI
Away FT34.8%24.5%–46.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.4%
Away54.5%