La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-12 · 20:00
13.4427.8%
X3.2929.0%
22.2143.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
WWWWLDWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sevilla
WWWDLWWWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.60
Against
3.40
6.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.70goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.70
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.40
6.90
Match total
8.50
10%1/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
31.10
Match total
27.00

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.30
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%21.9%-5.9 pp
Draw29.0%36.7%+7.7 pp
Away43.2%41.4%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS39.8%

Historical average

0.891.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-018.8%
0-115.6%
1-011.7%
1-110.9%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.414.93
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.545.3%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.0%2.4%–18.6% CI
Draw FT62.8%47.9%–75.6% CI
Away FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal44.2%
2+ goals14.0%
3+ goals4.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home14.0%
Away39.5%