La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 17:30
12.1344.8%
X3.3328.6%
23.5926.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
WDWLLDLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Granada
LWLLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.50
Against
5.00
9.40
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.20goals per match
Granada conceded2.10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.10goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.00
9.40
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
28.80
Match total
24.70

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%43.5%-1.3 pp
Draw28.6%32.9%+4.3 pp
Away26.6%23.6%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

1.290.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-013.7%
0-013.7%
2-010.6%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.24
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%25.0%–45.7% CI
Draw FT44.9%34.3%–55.9% CI
Away FT20.5%13.0%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away42.3%