La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 15:15
13.5327.0%
X3.2829.1%
22.1743.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
WLDLDDWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sociedad
WDLLWLDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.90
Against
3.20
10.10
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.50goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.00
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.90goals per match
Valencia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.20
10.10
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.60
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
27.50
Match total
29.70

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%21.2%-5.9 pp
Draw29.1%24.0%-5.0 pp
Away43.9%54.8%+10.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.091.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
1-213.5%
1-110.6%
0-26.7%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.13
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away65.5%