La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 13:00
11.6856.8%
X3.6426.2%
25.6416.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WDDDWDDLLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Osasuna
LLDDLDLWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Against
4.70
8.20
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.40
Matchup

Osasuna attack

0.80goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.70
8.20
Match total
7.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.10
Match total
25.90

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%50.5%-6.3 pp
Draw26.2%27.8%+1.6 pp
Away16.9%21.6%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.530.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.5%
1-113.4%
0-010.3%
2-010.3%
1-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.013.39
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.6%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT41.7%27.1%–57.8% CI
Away FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away38.9%