La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 20:00
12.9232.8%
X3.7825.3%
22.2841.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Barcelona
LWWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.70
0.50
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.10
Against
2.80
10.10
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.70
2.40
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
1.90goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.70Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.70goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
2.80
10.10
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
22.60
Match total
21.70
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.30
On target
7.10
12%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%31.9%-0.8 pp
Draw25.3%31.9%+6.6 pp
Away41.9%36.2%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS78.7%
Historical average
1.49–1.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-123.4%
1-212.8%
2-110.6%
0-16.4%
3-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.45–4.81
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.2%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.7%
Away58.8%