La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 15:15
11.9249.7%
X3.3128.8%
24.4521.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
LWLWLWDDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Alaves
WLLDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
9.30
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.50goals per matchAlaves conceded2.10Matchup
Alaves attack
0.70goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
9.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.50
Match total
28.40
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%52.9%+3.2 pp
Draw28.8%30.6%+1.7 pp
Away21.4%16.5%-4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS38.8%
Historical average
1.50–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.7%
0-014.0%
1-19.1%
2-19.1%
2-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.02–4.17
Average total9.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.538.8%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.519.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.3%25.8%–52.6% CI
Draw FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Away FT14.9%7.4%–27.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.02
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.8%
2+ goals29.8%
3+ goals8.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.1%
Away31.9%