La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-07 · 20:00
12.2043.3%
X3.1730.1%
23.5826.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WDDLDDWWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LDDLDLWDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.10N=10
2.80
Against
3.70
8.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.70goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.40
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.30goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.70
8.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.80
Match total
29.50

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.70
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches286
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.7%+0.4 pp
Draw30.1%34.3%+4.2 pp
Away26.6%22.0%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.270.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-014.7%
1-012.2%
2-010.5%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.30
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=286.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches128
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.2%27.4%–43.8% CI
Draw FT46.1%37.7%–54.7% CI
Away FT18.8%12.9%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals8.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away35.9%