La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 20:00
11.1384.7%
X9.0510.6%
220.104.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWDDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Valladolid
WLDDWDLDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.50
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.50goals per matchValladolid conceded0.90Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.90goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
9.80
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.90
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.40
Match total
27.10
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
7.10
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.7%90.5%+5.8 pp
Draw10.6%9.5%-1.0 pp
Away4.8%0.0%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
2.95–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-019.0%
3-09.5%
2-19.5%
1-19.5%
1-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
8.57–3.14
Average total11.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.2%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.542.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals90.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away30.0%