La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 20:00
11.1384.7%
X9.0510.6%
220.104.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWDDWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Valladolid
WLDDWDLDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.50
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.50goals per match
Valladolid conceded0.90
Matchup

Valladolid attack

0.90goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
9.80
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.90
Match total
5.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.40
Match total
27.10

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
7.10
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.7%90.5%+5.8 pp
Draw10.6%9.5%-1.0 pp
Away4.8%0.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

2.950.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.0%
3-09.5%
2-19.5%
1-19.5%
1-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.573.14
Average total11.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.2%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals90.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%