La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 20:00
12.9033.0%
X3.0631.2%
22.6735.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
LDWWWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Ath Madrid
WLWWWWWDWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
3.70
9.20
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.60goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.80Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
1.60goals per matchSevilla conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.70
9.20
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.20
Match total
27.40
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.40
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%34.6%+1.7 pp
Draw31.2%33.1%+1.8 pp
Away35.8%32.3%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.512.3%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
0.99–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
1-013.8%
0-013.1%
0-112.3%
1-29.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.42–4.45
Average total8.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.1%
Over 9.541.5%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%23.6%–47.3% CI
Draw FT43.1%31.2%–55.9% CI
Away FT22.4%13.6%–34.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away41.4%