La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 17:30
13.1130.6%
X3.1330.4%
22.4439.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cadiz
LWLDWDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Valencia
DDDLWLDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.10
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cadiz attack

1.00goals per match
Valencia conceded1.60
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.80goals per match
Cadiz conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.30
Match total
27.60

Shots

7.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.90
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%32.2%+1.6 pp
Draw30.4%26.6%-3.8 pp
Away39.0%41.3%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.061.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.0%
1-111.9%
0-211.2%
1-011.2%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.17
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.9%13.9%–37.9% CI
Draw FT34.8%22.7%–49.2% CI
Away FT41.3%28.3%–55.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away54.3%