La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 13:00
12.9732.1%
X3.1830.0%
22.5237.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
DDDWLLLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Celta
DLWDLLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.00
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.80
Against
3.60
8.40
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.00goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Alaves conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.60
8.40
Match total
7.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
16.80N=10
26.70
Match total
30.00

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
2.70
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%25.8%-6.3 pp
Draw30.0%36.3%+6.3 pp
Away37.9%37.9%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.516.1%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

0.981.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
0-115.3%
0-013.7%
1-08.1%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.63
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.0%–32.5% CI
Draw FT52.9%39.5%–65.9% CI
Away FT27.5%17.1%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away52.9%