La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 15:15
11.3570.6%
X5.1018.7%
28.9310.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
LWWWWLWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Eibar
WDLDLDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
3.50
10.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.80goals per match
Eibar conceded1.20
Matchup

Eibar attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.50
10.70
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.70
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%53.3%-17.3 pp
Draw18.7%33.3%+14.6 pp
Away10.7%13.3%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.546.7%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

1.270.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-040.0%
1-120.0%
0-113.3%
2-213.3%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.073.87
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.586.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.1%
Away41.2%