La Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 13:00
13.7425.5%
X3.2729.2%
22.1145.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
LDWWLWDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Villarreal
DDWLWDDDLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.00
9.10
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.40goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.60goals per match
Granada conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.00
9.10
Match total
7.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
31.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.80
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%18.6%-6.9 pp
Draw29.2%36.0%+6.8 pp
Away45.3%45.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

0.841.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.1%
0-115.1%
1-111.6%
1-210.5%
0-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.16
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%6.9%–31.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Away FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.4%
2+ goals28.1%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away53.1%