La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 20:00
13.5327.0%
X3.7825.2%
21.9947.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad
WWDDLDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Barcelona
LLWWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.20
Against
3.50
9.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad attack
2.00goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.70Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.10goals per matchSociedad conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.50
9.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.20
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
25.80
Match total
21.20
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.80
On target
6.50
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%24.0%-3.0 pp
Draw25.2%26.0%+0.8 pp
Away47.8%50.0%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS72.0%
Historical average
1.24–1.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.0%
1-214.0%
3-110.0%
1-08.0%
2-26.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.32–4.64
Average total8.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.524.0%
Over 11.512.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away66.7%