La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 15:15
11.4167.6%
X4.4221.6%
28.7810.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Villarreal
WWDDDWDDLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Cadiz
WLDLLDLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.40
Against
4.70
8.10
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.20goals per matchCadiz conceded2.00Matchup
Cadiz attack
0.70goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.70
8.10
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.20
Match total
24.30
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.40
On target
2.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.6%75.0%+7.4 pp
Draw21.6%18.8%-2.8 pp
Away10.9%6.3%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS37.5%
Historical average
2.06–0.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-025.0%
2-112.5%
1-012.5%
0-012.5%
4-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.50–3.31
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away12.5%