La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 15:15
11.4167.6%
X4.4221.6%
28.7810.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWDDDWDDLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Cadiz
WLDLLDLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.40
Against
4.70
8.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.20goals per match
Cadiz conceded2.00
Matchup

Cadiz attack

0.70goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.70
8.10
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.20
Match total
24.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.40
On target
2.20
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.6%75.0%+7.4 pp
Draw21.6%18.8%-2.8 pp
Away10.9%6.3%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

2.060.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-025.0%
2-112.5%
1-012.5%
0-012.5%
4-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.31
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away12.5%