La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 20:00
14.5920.7%
X3.3928.1%
21.8651.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valladolid
LWDWLLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
LWWWDLWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.10
Against
3.80
9.00
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.10goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.80
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.20goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.80
9.00
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
5.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.70
Match total
27.90

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.80
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%31.0%+10.3 pp
Draw28.1%17.2%-10.8 pp
Away51.2%51.7%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS37.9%

Historical average

0.831.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.8%
1-013.8%
0-010.3%
0-210.3%
0-110.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.725.17
Average total8.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.7%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.524.1%
Over 11.517.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away46.2%