La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:15
14.5121.1%
X3.9024.4%
21.7554.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LWWWWLDWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Real Madrid
LDWWDDWWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.20
Against
2.90
6.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.50goals per match
Celta conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
2.90
6.60
Match total
7.80
10%1/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
31.00
Match total
25.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.20
On target
4.60
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.1%24.2%+3.1 pp
Draw24.4%24.2%-0.2 pp
Away54.4%51.5%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.201.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-212.1%
1-07.6%
0-16.1%
0-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.925.94
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away64.7%