La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 15:15
11.2079.4%
X6.8114.0%
214.376.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Real Madrid
WLWWWWLWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Elche
LDDLLDLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
10.90
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Real Madrid attack
2.00goals per matchElche conceded1.90Matchup
Elche attack
0.70goals per matchReal Madrid conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
10.90
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.50
Match total
26.90
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.60
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.4%90.0%+10.6 pp
Draw14.0%5.0%-9.0 pp
Away6.6%5.0%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS15.0%
Historical average
2.55–0.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-030.0%
2-025.0%
4-015.0%
4-110.0%
0-15.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.50–2.15
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.545.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away10.0%