La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-08 · 20:00
11.7654.2%
X3.6925.8%
24.7620.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Betis
LWLDWDWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Alaves
WDWLLDLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
7.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Betis attack

1.20goals per match
Alaves conceded1.80
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.80goals per match
Betis conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
7.60
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.30
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.70
Match total
27.50

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.2%58.5%+4.3 pp
Draw25.8%21.8%-4.0 pp
Away20.0%19.7%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.630.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
2-114.1%
1-110.6%
0-09.9%
2-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.084.02
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI
Draw FT43.9%29.9%–59.0% CI
Away FT14.6%6.9%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals31.7%
3+ goals7.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away29.3%