La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 15:15
12.6136.5%
X3.2129.7%
22.8233.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWWWWWDL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Real Madrid
WLDWWDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
3.50
10.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.00
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.70goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.50
10.80
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%29.0%-7.5 pp
Draw29.7%39.5%+9.8 pp
Away33.8%31.5%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.051.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-012.5%
0-112.5%
1-010.0%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.76
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.2%19.0%–39.5% CI
Draw FT47.9%36.7%–59.3% CI
Away FT23.9%15.5%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.8%
2+ goals26.8%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.7%
Away39.4%