La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:15
16.6014.4%
X3.6126.4%
21.6159.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WDDLDDLLDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
LLWWWDLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

2.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.10
Against
3.70
7.30
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.10goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.70
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.10goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.70
7.30
Match total
7.90
20%2/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
6.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
26.70
Match total
27.90

Shots

6.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
2.20
On target
2.90
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%0.0%-14.4 pp
Draw26.4%15.4%-11.0 pp
Away59.2%84.6%+25.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

0.621.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-130.8%
1-215.4%
2-47.7%
0-37.7%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.384.54
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal50.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home10.0%
Away50.0%