La Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-01 · 20:00
11.8850.7%
X3.7325.5%
24.0123.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
LWLWWWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Sociedad
WWWDLLWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.00
Against
2.30
10.70
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Sociedad conceded0.90
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.50goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
2.30
10.70
Match total
6.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
23.20
Match total
30.70

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.7%53.3%+2.6 pp
Draw25.5%24.1%-1.5 pp
Away23.8%22.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.681.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.7%
1-19.5%
0-09.5%
2-08.8%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.924.30
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.7%33.9%–63.8% CI
Draw FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Away FT10.3%4.1%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away25.6%