La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 20:00
13.2029.9%
X3.0231.6%
22.4838.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWWDDDWDDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Ath Madrid
WWWLWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.20
Against
3.50
7.10
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.50
7.10
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
26.20
Match total
27.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.40
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%23.1%-6.8 pp
Draw31.6%30.8%-0.9 pp
Away38.5%46.2%+7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

1.051.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
0-212.3%
0-010.8%
2-29.2%
1-29.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.284.86
Average total9.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away47.8%