La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 13:00
11.7753.8%
X3.7525.4%
24.5720.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
LLLWWWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Valladolid
DLWLDDWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
5.70
7.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.60goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.20
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.00goals per match
Celta conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.70
7.60
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
30.30
Match total
27.40

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.30
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%55.3%+1.6 pp
Draw25.4%24.3%-1.1 pp
Away20.8%20.4%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.570.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.5%
0-012.6%
2-112.6%
1-19.7%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.154.17
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI
Away FT13.3%5.3%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.7%
2+ goals23.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away23.3%