La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:15
13.1929.9%
X3.5127.2%
22.2342.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LWWLDWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Barcelona
LDLLWWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.40
Against
3.80
9.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.80goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.90
Matchup

Barcelona attack

1.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.80
9.60
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
7.30N=10
26.70
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
4.50
On target
6.40
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%31.3%+1.4 pp
Draw27.2%28.4%+1.1 pp
Away42.8%40.3%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

1.361.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-211.9%
0-09.0%
2-17.5%
0-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.585.18
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Away FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals60.7%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away64.3%