La Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-24 · 18:00
11.1384.5%
X8.9910.6%
219.714.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
LWWWWDDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Elche
WWLDDLLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
3.30
10.70
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.40goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Matchup

Elche attack

0.90goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.30
10.70
Match total
7.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.90
Match total
27.20

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
7.40
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.5%90.0%+5.5 pp
Draw10.6%10.0%-0.6 pp
Away4.8%0.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

3.150.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
1-110.0%
5-110.0%
5-010.0%
2-15.0%

Comparable corner averages

8.852.80
Average total11.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.545.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT91.7%64.6%–98.5% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away25.0%